Think an IPO Offering is Safe? Think Again


IPO OfferingAs many of you may know, the IPO market has been very shaky recently. Some deals have seen penny stock like volatility. We have seen a flood of private equity deals come to the market, and this has turned institutions and retail investors sour on some of the last few offerings. Express Inc. (NYSE:EXP) is a prime example. Express was once a division of The Limited Brand (NYSE:LTD) until a majority stake was taken by Golden Gate Private Equity. As all private equity firms do, Golden Gate cashed in on the IPO.

The once solid Express deal, lost street interest and was priced at $17.  This was below the original price talk of $18- $20 that was expected. Today, the stock is trading in the $13 range. As mentioned above, this has cast doubt into future private equity IPO’s and may continue into the near future. Even with companies as established as Express.

The Toys “R” Us IPO could be the next test of this trend. KKR and Bain Capital have large stakes in the $800 million IPO. IPO’s in some regard are like hot penny stocks. They offer the chance of high percentage gains to speculative investors.

Next week’s flagship IPO is CBOE Holdings. Goldman Sachs is the lead manager of the deal. Some IPO services are calling for a $4 premium on the first day of trading. The deal is being priced between $27-$29. As most people know, CBOE like most highly anticipated IPO’s will be as volatile as a high beta gold stock on the first day of trading. Since IPO allocations of CBOE for retail investors will be virtually non-existent, most retail investors will be forced to participate in the aftermarket.

Keep in mind that while the reward is there, the risk is too.

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