Midday LEXG Update


This piece is nothing more than a quick update on LEXG. Today the stock hit the $10 “psyche” number, and we mentioned that the level was in play in our stocks to watch entry. I have to admit that this run has been insane and I can’t remember the last time I saw a penny stock over $1 explode like this on a 5 trading day run.

There have been have been a couple of PR’s , regarding the advantages of Lithium production in Alberta and some meetings in Chile. However, it looks like a combination of supply and demand and naked short covering have taken over on the former penny stock. How high does it go ? We can’t really say, but at the time of this entry, the total of individual trades should easily exceed 10k today.

Despite the strong PR behind the stock, another factor could be looming. It’s called naked shorting. From my experience when some of these low priced names run up, they are shorted on a naked basis by a sect or the trading community. And sometimes, when these naked shorts run up against an exceptionally strong stock that has developed a cult following a short period of time, the result is very simple. The naked shorts get squeezed and the one’s who are less solvent get bought in. I am not making a call on this one, but since this run is less than 7 days old you could see some shorts get bought in over the next few days. Once again the run has been fabulous, but at this level it seems like either both sides of this trade are risky.

Please check back and follow our list of stocks. Our list of penny stocks and large caps is based on putting names that are hot or in play in front of you. It is your decision to decipher our list, but we did put LEXG in front of you under the $4 level. So come back often and stay informed.



LEXG Update


There is nothing to say other than that LEXG has been a penny stock trader‘s dream. Shares of this junior minor have exceeded even the most optimistic views. However, we have to ask ourselves two things. Is a triple in a very short time period enough ? Or does this super hot penny stock make a play for the $10 “psyche” number.

Personally, other than day trading the name, buying after a triple (almost a quadruple) is often the last leg of irrational exuberance. I am not trying to be negative here, but taking a profit after such a huge run is never a recipe for disaster.

On the other hand, you may be witnessing a classic naked short squeeze. Market makers for instance can legally short stocks that are hard to borrow. However, individual investors can’t, but also play this game, but illegally through what are called DVP accounts. Through this type of account, traders can sell with one broker without actually borrowing shares, and buy with another. Unless there is an audit of time and sales, these illegal trades slips often through the cracks.

lexg LEXG UpdateI will elaborate on shorting penny stocks in a future entry, but right now LEXG should absolutely be added to your penny stock list. Even if you don’t buy it. LEXG is a great lesson in market mechanics. In other words, the company is not a major revenue producer, but at the time of this entry, has a market cap in excess of $300 million, which is more than many, more established mining stocks that are listed on the AMEX.

In closing, LEXG’s lack of fundamentals may not matter if the short squeeze continues. LEXG issued some savvy PR’s, but good old supply and demand has been the catalyst. So if naked shorts are forced to buy in, this one could see 10. If they are already wiped out and have thrown the towel in, LEXG could easily go back to $4.

So keep an eye on LEXG, even if you are not going to get involved. The shares have provided a great lesson.

Also, check back for more alerts on some of the best penny stocks to buy, IPO news and other additions to your list of stocks.

 

Stocks to Watch


Here are some names to watch for your trading day on Thursday. As always these equities range from large cap companies to hot penny stocks. Remember to add these names to your list of stocks.

Techalt (TECA.PK) This sub penny stock name makes to list two days in a row. Basically, because it’s once again, the most active IHUB message board. Penny stock scalpers must have been sellers today because TECA closed down over 20%. Is there a bounce tomorrow ? We will see.


Lithium Exploration (LEXG.OB)
LEXG is once again on our watch list this week. Shares ripped again today to close up over 50%. This penny stock has simply been a beast and should remain volatile for the short term.

Avatar Ventures (AVCC.OB) We issued an alert this AM to subscribers. The shares closed up over 10% for the day. Hopefully we see some follow through going into the weekend. AVCC could follow LEXG‘s footsteps and become next weeks hottest penny stock.

US Steel (X:NYSE) Beat up today after the Goldman downgrade and weak earnings. This old school name is just simply a great trading vehicle. Letter X has been a favorite of scalpers and swing traders all over the world. Just remember that it could get ugly on a break of $45. Look at the chart when if add it your list.

ProShares UltraShort Silver (ZSL:NYSE) As you have probably noticed, we have put a silver ETF or a silver stock on our stocks to watch list quite often in the past few weeks. I just want to highlight this 2x short silver ETF for you so you know don’t have to scramble for a stock symbol if silver cracks. You have no idea how many times traders see an epic news event, and can’t find the proper ETF symbol. Commit this one to memory just in case, but remember, ZSL set a 52 week low today.

HyPower Fuel (HYPF.PK) Only listed this one for nostalgic reasons. It’s was the most active RagingBull message board stock under $2. It’s weird, back in the day, Ragingbull was so far ahead of the curve. I felt like I lived on that website.


The Fresh Market (TFM:NYSE)
Doing a secondary offering in the AM and shares are apparently in high demand by institutions. I like to mention secondary offerings so people aren’t alarmed if the happen to see there stock down, for what they think is no apparent reason. Add this one to your list. There might be an opportunity if it’s priced deep in the hole.


Amazon.com (AMZN:NYSE)
Up almost 8% after a mild open and traded over 4x it’s normal volume, AMZN also set an all time high. Some say it’s too expensive, but you have to be nuts to short charts like this one. Remember, always look for a breakdown in technicals before shorting high fliers. Otherwise you are playing with a loaded gun. Although, here might be another example of sometimes the sidelines look nice.

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Penny Stocks and Large Caps


Here are some names that could be active today :

IShares20yr Treasury (TLT:NYSE) This ETF is always active when Bernanke speaks. Especially with day traders who are looking to grab 50 cents to a buck. TLT is a great trading vehicle for both longs and shorts.

Lithium Exploration (LEXG.OB) The stock ripped again yesterday, but bent a little lower on what seemed to be profit taking. LEXG has been one of the best penny stocks recently. Today will be a great test for follow through on this move.

AIG (AIG:NYSE) Has been trading at the lows. Shares should see much more activity the closer we get to the monster secondary offering. Kate Kelly from CNBC seems to have to best info on this one. Watch for news of the roadshow for a read on AIG.

Netflix (NFLX:NASDAQ) Do the bounce buyers come in today ? Or do they wait for the usual three day down draft that is often associated with stocks that sell off after earnings ? Once again, as I mentioned in yesterday NFLX entry, the sidelines might be the best way to play this one until it settles down.

American Superconductor (AMSC:NASDAQ) Seems to be going through the bottoming process after being smashed. There is somewhat of a cult following with this stock. So if it shows some strength, it could be a swing trade mover.

IShares Silver Trust (SLV:NYSE) I hate to keep mentioning this one so often, but I sort of have to. Don’t I ? Once again, it’s at the top of the Yahoo Market Pulse trending feature, and could continue to be newsy. I seem to think that too many people are looking to buy a pullback.

Deltron (DTRO.PK) This one is top penny stock on IHUB message boards. I try to highlight the IHUB factor on every “Stocks to Watch” entry, because when people post on message boards, volume usually follows. Deltron should be especially active with sub penny stock scalpers today.

Radient Pharmaceuticals (RPC:AMEX) This was was a monster winner for us a while back (see RPC) when we issued an alert on the stock. It’s now trending towards the lows. However, every time RPC seems to be done, it stages a sharp rally on some PR. This is a great one to keep on your list of penny stocks and to input on your quote monitor, but you really have to check it everyday. Because when RPC moves it moves, but just follow it for now.

Please check back for more market news, IPO market updates and alerts on some of the best penny stocks to buy.

 

NFLX Stock Updates


nflx stock NFLX StockAs most of us know, shares of NFLX stock have been and probably will remain about as volatile as hot penny stocks. Recently, Netflix has been one of those names that has a ton of smart money on both sides of the trade. For instance Jim Cramer, the the shares are ridiculously cheap and all star Morgan Keegan analyst Justin Patterson is extremely bearish. Well so far, the bulls have been right. Except for a few pullbacks, NFLX stock has basically gone straight up for the last year and a half. It’s last run to the highs came after Goldman Sachs raised its target and shorts were squeezed.

From the short perspective you have to ask yourself one old market question. Can you stay solvent longer than NFLX stock can remain irrational. Now many NFLX bears feel $80 or $90 is a fair price for these shares. That type of downside move is enormous. These types of percentage moves are often only seen in the best penny stocks. To give you an example of how crazy this run has been, hedge fund titan Whitney Tilson was even a victim of the short squeeze a while back. Covering his position at a substantial loss. This is why we preach that no matter how positive you are about a position, you always have to cut you losses as short as possible.

This is why many bears prefer to play some of these lower market, high beta stocks with put options versus shorting them. While time is often against you with options and most expire worthless, you can only lose what you put in. On the straight short play, the loss is infinite in theory, but you can stay in as long as margin is sufficiently met.

Now remember for every NFLX stock bull that says this pullback is just earnings profit taking there is a bear who thinks the shares are worth under $100. In my opinion I think being flat and on the sidelines is the best way to play NFLX stock.

Check back for more market reports, IPO market updates and alerts on some of the best penny stocks.

 

Large Caps and Canadian Penny Stocks


Today we are going to give you some stocks to watch, and will segway into an occasional Canadian penny stocks idea.

Urbana Corp (URB.CN) We are going to start highlighting some different Canadian penny stocks on a infrequent basis. Some people may confuse Urbana with other Canadian penny stocks. However it’s a closed end mutual fund that happens to own large stakes in the exchanges. This is a cheap way to play the recent takeover frenzy in the space.

Ford Motor (F:NYSE) The stock is up nicely on earnings at the time of this entry. This name should be pretty newsy today with several opinions coming out of the major brokerage firms. However, negative news from Nissan could weigh on the entire auto group.

Oracle (ORCL:CFO) When a CFO resigns it’s usually not a good sign. However, Oracle is a tech titan and this seems like a non event. If this were a small cap or a penny stock, investors would view it differently.

Jammin Java (JAMN.OB) Our subscribers recently received an alert that put them in a poistion to take a nice short term profit. Jammin Java seems to be trying to test the $2 range. This one has been a home run so far and should remain pretty active

IShares Silver Trust (SLV:NYSE) Once again we feel that silver ETF is one to watch, and probably will be for the near future. Remember, silver is not for the risk averse, and other miners and and silver mining penny stocks could see sympathy moves based on the performance of SLV.

Techalt (TECA.PK) This sub penny stock is currently the most active IHUB message boards. We like to point these message board out because even though we aren’t predicting the stock direction, the voulme on these plays are usually substantial.

Netflix (NFLX.NASDAQ) Lower on earnings, today’s action in NFLX could be a day traders dream. This one could be as volatile as a hot penny stock in AM trading. Maybe the shorts are finally right.

Check back for occasional profiles on Canadian penny stocks, IPO market, market reports and alerts on the best penny stocks.