How Will This Effect Penny Stock Trading?


federal reserve building Fed Interest Rate and Penny StocksToday the Federal Reserve was once again true to their word. The benchmark interest rate remained unchanged. The FOMC also mentioned that while the U.S. economy is improving, problems in Europe could slow down growth in America.

Many large brokerage firms feel that due to the problems abroad, a rate hike here in the U.S. is unlikely until sometime next year. To me, that sounds like it makes good sense. Now, how does that affect penny stocks and companies that trade on the OTCBB.

Well, historically small cap and micro cap companies do better in low interest rate environments. This is due to the low cost of borrowing and more readily available supplies. But as you have probably read here before, hot penny stocks usually make huge moves based on a positive news release or an event related to the stock. Unlike Intel (INTC) or Disney (DIS), the big percentage gainers on the OTCBB or Pinksheets generally don’t move in sympathy with the S&P 500 or the NASDAQ 100.

Do your homework if you are looking for the next hot penny stock. You will not get a signal from Bernanke or the broader market to find the next penny stocks to watch. Low interest rates don’t hurt, but the biggest winners have come from special situations. Not from the Fed.

Check back for more blog entries and look for our next hot penny stock alert.

 

Penny Stock is Generally News Driven


yuan chinese currency Could the Yuan Effect Penny Stocks ?Yesterday we saw an interesting development with the revaluation of the Yuan in China. The move seemed to have an impact as steel stocks rallied and while gold and copper stocks were weakened.

The US dollar rallied as well in response to the news. In a normal market, a rising dollar generally wreaks havoc on commodity based stocks and provides the opportunities for massive gains for traders who are short sellers.

Right now we are actually in uncharted territory. China has generally been unresponsive to world markets opinions on their management of their currency. China’s move will unquestionably have an effect on large cap commodity based issues, but does the Yuan really impact penny stocks? Could this move make a micro cap retail play more attractive than a mining company?

Generally hot penny stocks are news driven and are not as sensitive to broader market moves. For instance, Freeport Macmoran (NYSE:FCX) currently doesn’t have the strongest chart, but that doesn’t necessarily mean that we won’t see a huge gain in some unknown penny stock that is mining for copper.

We are looking for a trend to develop and for the market to adjust.  Significant events like this do not happen like this every day.  Uncertainty is definitely prevalent with traders right now.  As events develop, strategies will change.  Once event like this can shift all aspects of the market.

While penny stocks for the most part are news driven, the influx of money in and out of OTCBB companies could have a technical impact as well.  We will be keeping an extremely close eye on micro caps.

 

Trading Penny Stocks and What You Should Know


penny stock trading 300x228 Penny Stock TradingWe all know that penny stocks are a high risk investment, but they offer some of the richest rewards available on the stock market. Home runs and massive gains are achieved each and every day in the small cap stock arena. You must preserve capital and at some point be willing to cut your losses.

SHORT TERM TRADING

Each and every day, there are several hot penny stocks in play. However, sometimes less is more. First and foremost limit your number of positions to a maximum of three stocks. It’s hard enough to pay attention to one stock, nevertheless five or six.



MARKET MECHANICS

Investors also need to understand the way the market works. You must understand the difference between the bid and ask. This is especially important with penny stocks. The person who is bidding for the stock is willing to buy the equity at that specific price. The scenario is flipped in regards to the ask price. The person who is offering the stock for sale is willing to sell the equity at that exact price.

LIMIT ORDERS

Human nature sometimes takes advantage of us and we can get real greedy. When a penny stock is moving, our greed tells us to act quickly.  More often than not, when you place a market order on a hot penny stock your execution price is much higher than you initially expected. This is why it’s better to stay disciplined and miss a potential massive gain than expose yourself to a bad fill and a potential disaster. Another common mistake made while investing in penny stock investors is putting your money with illiquid stocks. Owning a stock that doesn’t trade much before everybody catches on is great when it goes up, but there could be hell to pay if you are wrong. Having no buyers ready to buy your illiquid position can wipe out hard earned gains from other positions. So try to stick to stocks that trade at least 100k in dollar volume per day.

SCALING OUT

When investing in penny stocks you should have an exit strategy. Actually, it doesn’t matter if it’s a blue chip or a penny stock.  You should always have an exit strategy on any investment.  You need to know how and when to get.  You should set a threshold for how much money you are willing to lose, whether it is 5 or 10%.  If your pre-determined loss threshold is hit, you should chalk it up as a loss and move on.  Another good penny stock idea will come along sooner than you think. Most experienced traders never let their whole position go at once. Scaling out of positions in thirds is a common trading strategy. Scaling out may cost more in commissions, but paying a little more is worth it when implementing a sound strategy.

We have much more information available on the site and through our alerts. Plus it’s all FREE and you can cancel anytime.

 

 

AMLM- American Lithium Minerals Inc (OTC:AMLM)


american lithium minerals 300x178 AMLM Back on the Watchlist – (OTC:AMLM)We found this hidden penny stock gem back in early September around .90 (ironically that is where it is sitting right now) and by late October we were sitting up at 2.90. ENORMOUS GAINS!!!!

Put American Lithium AMLM back on your radar immediately. We have obviously been watching this company ever since we profiled it. We feel that AMLM is getting ready to rock.

Lithium has been hogging the headlines recently, even with gold making new highs.

Take a look here at this Wall Street Journal post

The estimates in this press release are off. They are now saying that there could possibly be up to $3 trillion worth of lithium. That is great news. They are inviting companies to come help mine the lithium and extract it from the ground. I have read reports that say Afghanistan could be 10 years away from mining any lithium.

This will be great in 10 years, but lithium is needed NOW and AMLM is sitting on what is being called the 2nd largest lithium deposit in the world. Lithium powers batteries for lap tops, cell phones, Ipod, Ipads, automobiles etc.


AMLM operates here within U.S. borders, where the laws are black and white. You don’t have to worry about dealing with foreign governments such as Afghanistan, Chile or Bolivia. AMLM’s claims are sitting in Nevada.

As we stated before when we profiled AMLM back in September, President Obama has made a promise to have 1 million American-made hybrid vehicles on the road by 2015. Most importantly, he’s backing it with money. The Advanced Technology Vehicle Manufacturing program for battery development has been awarded $25 Billion, and this massive funding has ignited lithium projects left and right.

The industry currently can’t produce enough lithium to build the hundreds of millions of large-format batteries needed to power electric cars, and plug-in hybrids of the future. This is why the demand for lithium is continually increasing, and is projected to grow by 20% per year over the next decade!

AMLM also recently received a $4 Million dollar investment in their Borat Hills project (another region expected to be rich in Lithium) by Japan Oil, Gas and Metals National Corporation.

The company will be a strategic partner in the Borat Hills Project; projected to yield a very large deposit of relatively high grades of lithium and boron (the region already contains the second largest boron deposit found in the United States).

We will have more on AMLM, but you should start doing your research immediately.

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Volume and Liquidity


Penny stocks can will often gain or decrease in value with even the slightest provocation.  This can happen with no news or even a limited trading history in the stock. Even if you see a penny stock up 200% in a day, it does not mean that it’s a hot penny stock.

Lets say that there is an investor who loves gold penny stocks.  He loves the gold market and thinks that a gold company is a good place to park his assets rather than buying the hard commodity.  He wants the most bang for his buck, so rather than invest his $10,000 in Newmont Mining (NEM) he looks for a cheap penny stock.

penny stock spikes A Penny Stocks Irrational SpikesThe uneducated investor puts in a market order for said penny stock.  The penny stock he chose was extremely illiquid and hasn’t traded a share in weeks.  This could result in a 100% leap in the price of the stock because of the buying pressure.  Now the market cap on this stock just doubled on a $10,000 investment.  The market cap is now twice that of what it was 30 seconds before the trade.  Is this justified?? No.  This could be a false catalyst to peak the interest of an uneducated investor who is using a stock screener that alerts them to increases in price on penny stocks.  This stock will eventually drift back down as there is no more buying in the stock.

A major part of the process while investing in a penny stock is to understand what driving factors are taken into consideration in the price of penny stock shares.  If a penny stock jumps high on very little volume, chances are something like I just mentioned happened.

This is why you must put together a list of penny stocks and take your time to do research on each individual company.